Bournemouth vs Leeds
Wed 22 Apr
★ VALUE OVERgap: +5.2ppodds: 1.75
Model62.4%
vs
Market57.1%
Conviction+4
📈In Form Attack🔴Leaky Defence🔥Goals Streak📈In Form Attack
Football - Premier League Weekly Report
Matchday 34 (2026-04-21 – 2026-04-27)
Value Band: 4–6pp21 Apr – 27 Apr
Value Selections
1 flag this weekAll Fixtures
10 matches · click column to sort| Fixture↑ | Model% | Gap | Flag | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth vs Leeds Wed 22 Apr In Form AttackLeaky DefenceGoals StreakIn Form Attack | 2.38 | 0.84 | 62.4% | 57.1% | +5.2pp | ★ OVER |
Brighton vs Chelsea Tue 21 Apr High ScorerHigh VarianceIn Form AttackCold AttackH2H High Scoring | 1.52 | 1.77 | 64.0% | 60.6% | +3.4pp | — |
Burnley vs Man City Wed 22 Apr Leaky DefenceCold AttackIn Form Attack | 1.10 | 3.02 | 77.9% | 74.1% | +3.8pp | — |
Sunderland vs Nott'm Forest Fri 24 Apr In Form Attack | — | — | 0.0% | 44.6% | +0.0pp | — |
Fulham vs Aston Villa Sat 25 Apr In Form AttackDefensive BlockGoals DroughtCold Attack | 1.52 | 1.49 | 57.9% | 55.3% | +2.6pp | — |
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Sat 25 Apr High ScorerHigh VarianceIn Form AttackHigh ScorerHigh VarianceIn Form AttackH2H Low Scoring | 2.23 | 2.71 | 87.0% | 63.7% | +23.3pp | — |
West Ham vs Everton Sat 25 Apr Defensive BlockIn Form AttackIn Form AttackH2H Low Scoring | 0.93 | 1.42 | 41.9% | 54.6% | -12.7pp | — |
Wolves vs Tottenham Sat 25 Apr Defensive BlockHigh VarianceCold AttackLeaky DefenceHigh VarianceCold AttackH2H High Scoring | 1.90 | 1.09 | 57.6% | 56.2% | +1.4pp | — |
Arsenal vs Newcastle Sat 25 Apr High ScorerCold AttackHigh ScorerGoals DroughtCold Attack | 1.29 | 2.08 | 65.4% | 61.7% | +3.6pp | — |
Man United vs Brentford Mon 27 Apr High ScorerHigh VarianceIn Form AttackHigh ScorerHigh VarianceCold AttackH2H High Scoring | 1.33 | 2.02 | 65.2% | 62.5% | +2.7pp | — |