Burnley vs Aston Villa
Sun 10 MayWin
OVERgap: +4.3ppodds: 1.78
Model60.5%
vs
Market56.2%
Conviction+1
Burnley
Aston Villa
H2H
Football·Premier League · O/U 2.5
Gameweek 36
Value band · 4–6 ppFixtures 9 May – 11 May2 flags · 10 fixtures
Value Selections
2 flags this weekWest Ham vs Arsenal
Sun 10 MayLoss
OVERgap: +5.1ppodds: 1.65
Model65.7%
vs
Market60.6%
Conviction-1labels contradict flag
West Ham
Arsenal
H2H
All Fixtures
10 matches · click column to sort| Fixture↑ | Flag | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Burnley vs Aston Villa OVER Sun 10 May O2.5 Goals%60.5% Gap+4.3pp H-xG A-xG BTTS44.9% Burnley Aston Villa H2H | 44.9% | 60.5% | 56.2% | +4.3pp | OVER | ||
West Ham vs Arsenal OVER Sun 10 May O2.5 Goals%65.7% Gap+5.1pp H-xG A-xG BTTS58.4% West Ham Arsenal H2H | 58.4% | 65.7% | 60.6% | +5.1pp | OVER | ||
Liverpool vs Chelsea Sat 9 May O2.5 Goals%68.7% Gap-2.8pp H-xG A-xG BTTS68.7% Liverpool Chelsea H2H | 68.7% | 68.7% | 71.4% | -2.8pp | — | ||
Sunderland vs Man United Sat 9 May O2.5 Goals%67.6% Gap+9.8pp H-xG A-xG BTTS63.7% Sunderland Man United | 63.7% | 67.6% | 57.8% | +9.8pp | — | ||
Brighton vs Wolves Sat 9 May O2.5 Goals%69.0% Gap+3.7pp H-xG A-xG BTTS61.7% Brighton Wolves | 61.7% | 69.0% | 65.4% | +3.7pp | — | ||
Fulham vs Bournemouth Sat 9 May O2.5 Goals%84.5% Gap+20.8pp H-xG A-xG BTTS68.3% Fulham Bournemouth | 68.3% | 84.5% | 63.7% | +20.8pp | — | ||
Man City vs Brentford Sat 9 May O2.5 Goals%70.2% Gap-3.3pp H-xG A-xG BTTS70.0% Man City Brentford | 70.0% | 70.2% | 73.5% | -3.3pp | — | ||
Crystal Palace vs Everton Sun 10 May O2.5 Goals%57.9% Gap+9.3pp H-xG A-xG BTTS60.3% Crystal Palace Everton | 60.3% | 57.9% | 48.5% | +9.3pp | — | ||
Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle Sun 10 May O2.5 Goals%72.5% Gap+16.6pp H-xG A-xG BTTS69.4% Nott'm Forest Newcastle H2H | 69.4% | 72.5% | 55.9% | +16.6pp | — | ||
Tottenham vs Leeds Mon 11 May O2.5 Goals%37.6% Gap-21.2pp H-xG A-xG BTTS40.8% Tottenham Leeds H2H | 40.8% | 37.6% | 58.8% | -21.2pp | — |